The law of independent experimentation is a fundamental principle. Every game in the casino gives the impression that it is completely random by nature. This means that there is no predictability of the outcome of an upcoming event. What the casinos rely on is the general house edge that their games have and favor the casino. This dependency requires the player to make a static bet and all variables remain constant. There is one area of probability mathematics that questions this idea and it is the chaos theory of mathematics.
The easiest way to illustrate chaos theory is through a fractal geometry map. In its simplest form, Chaos Theory claims that an apparently random line along a geometric plane, when viewed in a larger context (or when the view is scaled down on a geometric plane) shows a recognizable pattern. Another key concept is that the small changes within a closed system lead to drastic changes after this event. The classic example is that a butterfly flaps its wings in the jungle and causes a car accident in New York.
The mathematical derivation of these claims is quite complex and goes far beyond the understanding of most recreational and professional gamblers. This article will focus strictly on how gamblers can benefit from a basic understanding of how it can be used.
BLACKJACK CHAOS THEORY
Each game has a set of rules that determine the general advantage of the casino. The Blackjack rules may vary, depending on whether you can double after the split when the dealer stands or on a soft 17meets. To determine what the house edge is, billions of computer simulations are used to find a convergence of a loss per dollar using an optimal strategy and a flat bet for each event. Blackjack is used as the first example because its system is dependent and not based on the law of independent experimentation. For example, if an ace is played, there is one less ace in the deck available for blackjack. But it is a good clue for rating games that is more accepted than compliance with the Independent Trials Act.
Blackjackis a dynamic game and which cards are played in previous hands directly affect which hands will be played in the future. Each card played complements or diminishes the initial house advantage. AND if enough of the right cards are dealt, the advantage swings to the player’s advantage. The players then increase their bets and can gain the advantage over the house. Other games offered by casinos are also susceptible to this type of attack. The intensity is much more subtle, but it’s there. And as already mentioned, a defining feature of chaos theory is that small changes lead to drastic results. Roulette is the most common application of it.
ROULETTE CHAOS THEORY
American Roulette roulette wheels have 38 number slots; 1-36 and a 0 and 00 compartment. In a perfect statistical world, the ball would land on average 1 in 38 in each number field. This would suggest that the conditions under which the ball was originally thrown remain the same for every spin. This is not the case. The roulette wheel is inevitably subject to wear. Humidity in the casino changes over time. The temperature of the roulette wheel changes depending on how many people are in the casino. All of these differences may seem unimportant to the recreational player, but as the chaos theory teaches us, small changes lead to drastic changes in the end results.
Now that it is clear what the little changes are that can lead to a change, the question becomes what the bottom line is and how we can determine the bottom line and the most important question of how an experienced player can use the information about financial gain can.
The first question is what is the bottom line? The clear result is that some numbers appear more often than others, which leads to a distortion of the numbers. So how come a player can determine what the distortion is. Unfortunately, there is no easy way to determine this. The only way is to collect data, more precisely, a lot of data. Roulette should be valued at no less than 50,000 spins on a particular roulette wheel. A roulette wheelrotates about 20 times an hour. It is very time consuming to get the first record. This raises the question, what is the best approach to data collection?
How to take advantage of chaos theory
Since not every roulette wheel has distortion, it is best to record data for several roulette wheels at the same time. The data should be placed in a table and evaluated in order to determine the frequency of the individual numbers. A single frequency in 36 results in a positive game, and any frequency greater than 1 times 36 is a positive expectation game. Every time you can find at least 2 in 10 roulette wheels with distortion, it’s a great find. There are both good and bad aspects of this methodology.
First, the bad, the obvious downside is that it takes a very long time to collect the data, in fact several months. Once the data is collected, it will take a few months before the system is used and the positive expectations are met. It is quite understandable that a negative downturn can be observed in the first few weeks, which leads to an emotional turmoil. Another thing to consider is that a casino can replace the roulette wheel at any time, making your entire data collection useless.
Well, the financial value of this approach is fantastic if you find a roulette wheel with frequencies that occur more than once in 25. Both internal betting numbers and areas and all in red and black can be used in this approach. Once you know what the long-term outcome will be, you can take advantage of this information for exceptional profit.
CHAOS THEORY IN ONLINE CASINOS
In the online casino area, data can be recorded to determine whether there is a distortion in the random number generators. There is almost always a slight distortion in all random number generators (RNG’s), however the distortion can only be determined after 100 of thousands of events. The application of chaos theory can be applied to online baccarat through this approach. However, it cannot be used for traditional table games since the casinos only use the baccarat cards once before they are no longer used.
Chaos theory is about using small, imperceptible changes in a system. It’s a tedious process, but when used properly, it’s a very profitable approach to casino gaming.